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Posted on February 7, 2024 (Updated on July 16, 2025)

The Supercontinent Cycle: Will the Atlantic or Pacific Ocean Be Consumed?

Historical Aspects

The Great Continental Shuffle: Atlantic vs. Pacific – Who Wins?

Okay, picture this: Earth’s continents, not as fixed landmasses, but as giant puzzle pieces constantly drifting and bumping into each other over millions of years. It’s a slow-motion dance called the supercontinent cycle, and it’s been going on for billions of years. Think of it as the ultimate geological remix, where continents collide to form massive supercontinents, only to break apart and scatter again. Pangaea, that supercontinent from way back when dinosaurs roamed, existed from about 335 to 175 million years ago. Now, scientists are scratching their heads, trying to figure out what the next supercontinent will look like. The big question? Will the Atlantic or the Pacific Ocean get swallowed up in the process?

The Supercontinent Cycle: Earth’s Endless Makeover

Basically, the supercontinent cycle is this never-ending boom-and-bust of continents, taking roughly 300 to 500 million years per cycle. It’s all tangled up with something called the Wilson Cycle, which is like the ocean’s version of opening and closing shop. Continents crash together, making fewer, bigger landmasses. Then, they split apart, giving us more, smaller continents.

This cycle isn’t just some abstract geological concept, though. It messes with everything, like:

  • Sea Level Shenanigans: The age of the ocean floor impacts sea levels. Younger oceans? Shallower, meaning higher sea levels and flooded coastlines. Older oceans? Deeper, leading to lower sea levels and more exposed land. It’s a constant tug-of-war.
  • Climate Chaos: Supercontinents tend to have harsh, continental climates. Think bigger deserts, more ice ages, and lower sea levels. Not exactly a beach vacation.
  • Evolutionary Eccentricities: The way continents and oceans are arranged shapes biodiversity. North-south arrangements? More diversity and isolation. East-west? Less so. It’s all connected.

A Blast from the Past: Supercontinent Edition

Earth’s been through this rodeo before. We’ve had a few supercontinents come and go. Here are some of the headliners:

  • Columbia (Nuna): This old-timer showed up around 2.5 to 1.5 billion years ago. It was basically a bunch of proto-continents that would eventually become the cores of places like North America, Scandinavia, and Australia.
  • Rodinia: Formed about 1.3 to 0.9 billion years ago, broke up around 750 million years ago. Picture this one with North America smack-dab in the center.
  • Pannotia: A fleeting supercontinent that existed briefly around 600 million years ago. Think of it as a rough draft of Gondwana.
  • Pangaea: Ah, Pangaea, the superstar. It assembled around 335 million years ago and started falling apart about 200 million years ago. Its breakup gave us Laurasia (North America, Europe, and Asia) and Gondwanaland (Africa, Antarctica, Australia, South America, and India). You know, the continents we know and love today.

The Next Supercontinent: Place Your Bets!

Scientists reckon the next supercontinent will show up in about 200 to 300 million years. But here’s where it gets interesting: nobody’s quite sure how it’ll all shake out. There are a few competing theories:

  • Pangaea Proxima (Pangaea Ultima): This one’s like a Pangaea reunion tour. The Atlantic and Indian Oceans close up shop, Africa crashes into Europe and Arabia, closing the Mediterranean and Red Seas. North America then joins the party, although further south than before. South America? It’ll swing around the bottom of Africa and Antarctica.
  • Novopangaea: Roy Livermore’s idea. The Pacific Ocean bites the dust. The Americas become the eastern edge of the new supercontinent, with Eurasia, Australia, and Antarctica in the middle, and Africa chilling on the west.
  • Amasia: This model says most continents drift north, except for Antarctica, forming a supercontinent around the North Pole. The Pacific Ocean shrinks as the Americas smash into Asia. Brrr!
  • Aurica: João Duarte’s wild card. This supercontinent forms near the Equator after both the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans vanish. But here’s the kicker: it needs a brand-new ocean to open up along the India-Pakistan border. Talk about a geological plot twist!

Atlantic vs. Pacific: The Ultimate Showdown

So, which ocean gets the axe? It’s a tough call. Some recent studies suggest that Earth’s been cooling down over billions of years, making oceanic plates weaker. This might make it less likely that the Atlantic and Indian Oceans will close. Instead, the older, tougher Pacific might be the one to go, leading to Amasia.

But hey, anything can happen. New subduction zones could pop up in the Atlantic, triggering its closure. The future’s a mystery, and the clash of geological titans will ultimately decide the fate of our oceans and continents.

A Not-So-Friendly Future

No matter which ocean disappears, the birth of a new supercontinent will shake things up big time. One study paints a grim picture of Pangaea Proxima: scorching heat, bone-dry conditions, and a potential mass extinction of mammals. The supercontinent’s interior would be far from the coast, leading to extreme temperatures. Throw in increased volcanic activity and a hotter Sun, and you’ve got a recipe for disaster.

The End (for now)

The supercontinent cycle is the ultimate long game, shaping Earth for eons. We don’t know exactly what the next supercontinent will look like, but tectonic plates keep moving, so it’s bound to happen. Whether the Atlantic or Pacific gets the boot, the new supercontinent will bring massive changes to our planet’s climate, biodiversity, and geology. Understanding this cycle is key to understanding Earth’s past, present, and future. It’s a wild ride!

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The Tilt of the Earth: Explaining the Sun’s Position at Noon

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