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Posted on April 16, 2022 (Updated on July 9, 2025)

How overdue is Yellowstone?

Regional Specifics

Yellowstone is not overdue for an eruption. Volcanoes do not work in predictable ways and their eruptions do not follow predictable schedules. Even so, the math doesn’t work out for the volcano to be “overdue” for an eruption.

Is Yellowstone about to erupt 2021?

“Yellowstone is not going to erupt again anytime soon, and when it does, it’s much more likely to be a lava flow than an explosive event,” Poland said. “These lava flows are really impressive. They can be hundreds of feet thick.

How overdue is the supervolcano?

Geologists think these eruptions take place about every 50,000 years, which suggests one is overdue. About 40 supervolcanoes are dotted across the globe.

Is Yellowstone due to erupt soon?

The good news is it isn’t likely to happen any time soon. Michael Poland, the scientist-in-charge of the Yellowstone Volcano Observatory, told AccuWeather last week that the volcano located under the park has erupted at least three times in the past and would “devastate much of the United States” when it erupts again.

How likely is it for Yellowstone to erupt?

ANSWER: Although it is possible, scientists are not convinced that there will ever be another catastrophic eruption at Yellowstone. Given Yellowstone’s past history, the yearly probability of another caldera-forming eruption can be approximated as 1 in 730,000 or 0.00014%.

Will Yellowstone erupt in my lifetime?

Although another catastrophic eruption at Yellowstone is possible, scientists are not convinced that one will ever happen. The rhyolite magma chamber beneath Yellowstone is only 5-15% molten (the rest is solidified but still hot), so it is unclear if there is even enough magma beneath the caldera to feed an eruption.

What states would be destroyed if Yellowstone erupts?

Yellowstone volcano eruption simulations show an unexpected blast would produce ash fallout from the Northwest US down to the southern tip of Florida. Volcanic ash fallout of more than 39.4 inches (one metre) would blanket Yellowstone’s immediate vicinity in the states of Wyoming, Montana and Utah.

What states will be safe from Yellowstone?

Yellowstone volcano eruption simulations show an unexpected blast would produce ash fallout from the Northwest US down to the southern tip of Florida. Volcanic ash fallout of more than 39.4 inches (one metre) would blanket Yellowstone’s immediate vicinity in the states of Wyoming, Montana and Utah.

Would the US survive Yellowstone?

The answer is—NO, a large explosive eruption at Yellowstone will not lead to the end of the human race. The aftermath of such an explosion certainly wouldn’t be pleasant, but we won’t go extinct. How do we know? Because this “super eruption” experiment has already been run.

Will Yellowstone destroy America?

That’s what scientists can offer when talking about the giant super volcano under Yellowstone National Park. The bad news is that the super volcano will erupt and will likely destroy much of the United States. The good news is it isn’t likely to happen any time soon.

What volcano could destroy the world?

Effects of a major eruption: When the Yellowstone Caldera, or “supervolcano,” in Yellowstone National erupts again, it will render a huge swath of North America, from Vancouver to Oklahoma City, uninhabitable. It would have incalculable human and economic consequences.

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