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Posted on December 28, 2023 (Updated on July 9, 2025)

Did global temperature increase or drop in the last 2 years (2017-2018)?

Weather & Forecasts

Global Temperature Trends: An Analysis of the Last Two Years (2017-2018)

As concerns about climate change continue to grow, it is essential to examine the most recent data on global temperature trends in order to gain a comprehensive understanding of the Earth’s climate system. In this article, we will examine whether global temperatures increased or decreased during the two-year period from 2017 to 2018. By analyzing the available scientific evidence, we can shed light on this important topic.

1. Overview of global temperature trends

Before delving into the specific time frame of 2017-2018, let’s first establish a broader context by examining long-term global temperature trends. Over the past century, there has been a clear and consistent increase in global temperatures. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), an authoritative body on climate science, has stated unequivocally that human activities, primarily the burning of fossil fuels, are the dominant cause of this observed warming trend.
It is important to note, however, that global temperature trends are not linear over short periods of time. Natural climate variability, such as El Niño and La Niña events, volcanic eruptions, and solar activity, can cause short-term fluctuations that can temporarily mask or amplify the underlying long-term warming trend. With this understanding, let us now turn our attention to the specific two-year period of 2017-2018.

2. Analysis of Global Temperature Data from 2017 to 2018

When analyzing global temperature data, it is crucial to rely on comprehensive and reliable datasets. A widely recognized dataset that provides a comprehensive picture of global temperature changes is that maintained by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). According to their data, the global average surface temperature in 2017 was one of the highest on record, surpassed only by 2016.
However, 2018 saw a slight decrease in global temperatures compared to the previous year. Despite this decrease, 2018 still ranked among the top four warmest years since instrumental records began in the late 19th century. This indicates that while there was a short-term cooling trend in 2018, it did not negate the overall long-term warming trend observed over the past century.

3. Factors influencing temperature variability

Understanding the factors that contribute to temperature variability is critical to interpreting short-term trends. One such factor is the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), a natural climate phenomenon characterized by changes in sea surface temperatures in the tropical Pacific Ocean. El Niño events tend to increase global temperatures, while La Niña events have a cooling effect.

In 2016, a strong El Niño event contributed to the record warmth observed that year. The subsequent transition to a La Niña phase in 2017 likely played a role in the slight cooling observed that year. In addition, volcanic eruptions can also cause short-term cooling by releasing large amounts of aerosols into the atmosphere, which reflect sunlight back into space.

4. Conclusion: Long-term warming trend continues

Based on the analysis of global temperature data from 2017 to 2018, it is clear that while there was a slight cooling trend in 2018, this does not mean a reversal of the long-term warming trend. The overall warming trajectory observed over the past century, driven primarily by human activities, remains intact.

It is important to emphasize that short-term temperature fluctuations should not overshadow the urgent need for climate action. The long-term consequences of climate change, such as rising sea levels, extreme weather events and disruptions to ecosystems, continue to pose significant challenges to human societies and the natural world. By reducing greenhouse gas emissions and transitioning to a sustainable, low-carbon future, we can mitigate the impacts of climate change and ensure the well-being of future generations.

In summary, global temperature trends from 2017 to 2018 show a short-term cooling period, but the long-term warming trend continues. It is critical to view temperature data in the broader context of climate change and to take decisive action to address this global challenge.

FAQs

Did global temperature increase or drop in the last 2 years (2017-2018)?

Global temperatures increased in the last 2 years (2017-2018).

What factors contributed to the increase in global temperature during 2017-2018?

The increase in global temperature during 2017-2018 can be attributed to various factors, including natural climate variability, such as El Niño events, and the ongoing trend of anthropogenic (human-caused) climate change.

Were there any extreme weather events associated with the increase in global temperature during 2017-2018?

Yes, an increase in global temperature during 2017-2018 was associated with several extreme weather events. These events included heatwaves, wildfires, and intense rainfall in different parts of the world.

How do scientists measure global temperature?

Scientists measure global temperature using a combination of ground-based weather stations, satellite observations, and ocean buoys. These measurements are collected and analyzed to estimate global average temperatures over specific periods.

What are the long-term trends in global temperature over the past decades?

The long-term trend in global temperature over the past decades shows a clear pattern of warming. The Earth’s average surface temperature has been steadily increasing since the mid-20th century, with the warmest years on record occurring in recent decades.

What are the potential consequences of continued global temperature increase?

Continued global temperature increase can lead to various consequences, including rising sea levels, more frequent and intense heatwaves, changes in precipitation patterns, shifts in ecosystems and biodiversity, and increased risks to human health and well-being. It can also exacerbate other climate-related challenges, such as water scarcity and extreme weather events.

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